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Post by milspec on May 31, 2021 8:45:36 GMT 10
I couldn't see a suitable thread for this bit of info so I created this 'supply issues' thread as place for it and any other similar noteworthy insights of supply issues that could impact your propping efforts. The issue I read about is availability of semiconductor chips out of Taiwan. Taiwan is the world's primary semiconductor producer. Demand for chips is up and ability to produce is now being constrained by drought believe it not. The industry requires a 156M + litres of water a day to produce chips. Anyways chip availability is contributing to delayed availability of everything from cars to TV'S. SMH Article here ... www.smh.com.au/world/asia/why-taiwan-s-drought-means-you-can-t-have-a-new-smart-tv-20210524-p57uq1.htmlAs an aside, given those considerations, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have substantial disruptive effects on availability of many consumer/industrial & military items across the globe.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on May 31, 2021 10:30:13 GMT 10
You can add pistol powder and primers to the short supply list.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on May 31, 2021 11:05:42 GMT 10
I couldn't see a suitable thread for this bit of info so I created this 'supply issues' thread as place for it and any other similar noteworthy insights of supply issues that could impact your propping efforts. The issue I read about is availability of semiconductor chips out of Taiwan. Taiwan is the world's primary semiconductor producer. Demand for chips is up and ability to produce is now being constrained by drought believe it not. The industry requires a 156M + litres of water a day to produce chips. Anyways chip availability is contributing to delayed availability of everything from cars to TV'S. SMH Article here ... www.smh.com.au/world/asia/why-taiwan-s-drought-means-you-can-t-have-a-new-smart-tv-20210524-p57uq1.htmlAs an aside, given those considerations, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have substantial disruptive effects on availability of many consumer/industrial & military items across the globe. Zerohedge has published numerous articles on the issue over the last few weeks. 2 weeks back I was looking for a tablet that was 4G enables - can add a sim card for remote work. Harvey Norman, Office works had none ended up purchasing one from a Telstra store - last one they had in stock a Samsung model, I suppose they get first priority from the chip manufactures. I recently changed work roles and now get a company car, being driving a rental car for 2 months waiting for double cab Toyota that the company has order to arrive. www.zerohedge.com/markets/satellite-imagery-captures-thousands-unfinished-ford-trucks-stashed-kentucky-speedway... similar noteworthy insights of supply issues that could impact your propping efforts.... Yip YIP yeah it is about global industries and world economies being propped up. Global recovery is fake. We definitely need to prop up our preps all the dominoes are falling over. [sorry could not resit, the play on words, I think a better word than prepping)
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Post by milspec on May 31, 2021 18:53:44 GMT 10
You can add pistol powder and primers to the short supply list. Yup and .264 140gr ELDM projectiles ... and have been waiting months for a new Polaris too.
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Post by spinifex on May 31, 2021 19:37:03 GMT 10
Ones I've directly experienced in last 3 months: car parts, Ag machinery parts, Hiking boots, specific prescription medicine, doctors appointments.
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Post by Joey on May 31, 2021 19:44:10 GMT 10
I have a supply issue with disposable cash that can be geared towards preps lol Too busy paying an exorbitant rent and clearing debts as quickly as I can.
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norseman
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Post by norseman on Jun 1, 2021 6:40:45 GMT 10
You can add pistol powder and primers to the short supply list. have been waiting months for a new Polaris too. New quad?
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Post by milspec on Jun 1, 2021 19:00:22 GMT 10
have been waiting months for a new Polaris too. New quad? Ranger XP 1000 HD side by side ... if it ever arrives. They offered me a diesel on the showroom floor for the same price but it had about as much acceleration as a rotary hoe, and it was as about as loud as my tractor. So yeah nah. We've already got 2 quads ... they may become rare vehicles eventually thanks to stupid overzealous safety regulations as you're probably aware.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Jun 1, 2021 21:26:21 GMT 10
Was at the doctor today, first time in more than 10years. Prescribed me an anti-inflammatory, well the pharmacy said they have been trying for 6 months to get the meds in. Gave me an over the counter half backed equivalent. Things are starting to get real.
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lonewolf
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Post by lonewolf on Jun 1, 2021 22:39:18 GMT 10
Was at the doctor today, first time in more than 10years. Prescribed me an anti-inflammatory, well the pharmacy said they have been trying for 6 months to get the meds in. Gave me an over the counter half backed equivalent. Things are starting to get real. Ive been using clinical strength curcumin to help with some inflamation/arthritis and it seems to be working. I specifically did this so i didnt need to keep going back to the chemist to get those half baked equivalents (no frills voltaren 25 or diclofenac).Ive been told you need to take them religiously everyday for atleast 3 months for any benefits, im on week 3 and already feeling alot better.
Be sure to get clinical strength with curcuminoid concentrate of atleast 600mg to 700mg per tab.
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ml8300
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Post by ml8300 on Jun 2, 2021 0:05:13 GMT 10
Few weeks ago, 100mm pvc pipe was unavailable for almost two weeks. Unable to get the resin required for the manufacturing.
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norseman
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Post by norseman on Jun 2, 2021 7:19:32 GMT 10
Ranger XP 1000 HD side by side ... if it ever arrives. They offered me a diesel on the showroom floor for the same price but it had about as much acceleration as a rotary hoe, and it was as about as loud as my tractor. So yeah nah. We've already got 2 quads ... they may become rare vehicles eventually thanks to stupid overzealous safety regulations as you're probably aware. Yes that's why I was asking.
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Post by Stealth on Jun 6, 2021 16:39:35 GMT 10
I bought a new bike today. After reading a few random articles about shortages of bikes in the US and experiencing massive delays to get the better half's bike last year, I decided to pull the pin and get one. I bought an ebike because my poor old knees struggle after a while with a regular bike, but I did want to be able to go for rides with the family. Ebike takes a lot of that hard work out of it when I hit hills.
Anyway, the store owner said that he definitely has struggled getting parts over the last six months. He said it was interesting because after the initial rush of people buying bikes because of ye old covid exercise craze he expected things to ease off, but the demand is still high purely because they haven't been getting the stock in the way they would in the past.
In his words "We're about 350 bikes behind in orders and we're expecting at least a six month delay in getting the first of those ones in". He also said that much like the shortages that are affecting some vehicle sales, some second hand bikes are selling for more than newer models and for a very good reason. The newer models are delayed in getting into the country. Whether it's because of trade issues or the movement of base produce that are used for parts, they're significantly delayed to the point that people would rather pay more for a second hand bike that they can have now rather than risk not getting one at all.
Now I realise that probably the majority of folks here don't care about push bikes (and probably have a bit of disdain for ebikes lol) but if there's delays for pushies including parts like chains and spacers, how long will it be before those delays hit other markets?
And as an aside, better half went to grab some ventolin to bolster his stocks and the pharmacy would only allow him to get one. He said that the lass at the register looked like she was ready to be shouted at so there must be a real problem with people losing their minds at them. Not their fault, obviously, so no ill-will here. But supply problems are clearly showing up in the standard OTC medicines now as well. Going to make it a priority to stop regularly at pharmacies now to grab more. Probably including paracetamol/ibuprofen etc.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jun 6, 2021 16:45:56 GMT 10
Maybe Australia Post is buying all the e-bikes. They are trying to phase out motorcycles.
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bushdoc2
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Post by bushdoc2 on Jun 7, 2021 21:00:59 GMT 10
Maybe Australia Post is buying all the e-bikes. They are trying to phase out motorcycles. Why? Are they afraid the mail will arrive on time?
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jun 7, 2021 21:30:35 GMT 10
Maybe Australia Post is buying all the e-bikes. They are trying to phase out motorcycles. Why? Are they afraid the mail will arrive on time? They don't want the mail to arrive on time. Not letters anyway. Post wants to kill letters because there's no profit in letters, only parcels.
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Post by spinifex on Jun 8, 2021 9:06:54 GMT 10
I bought a new bike today. After reading a few random articles about shortages of bikes in the US and experiencing massive delays to get the better half's bike last year, I decided to pull the pin and get one. I bought an ebike because my poor old knees struggle after a while with a regular bike, but I did want to be able to go for rides with the family. Ebike takes a lot of that hard work out of it when I hit hills. Anyway, the store owner said that he definitely has struggled getting parts over the last six months. He said it was interesting because after the initial rush of people buying bikes because of ye old covid exercise craze he expected things to ease off, but the demand is still high purely because they haven't been getting the stock in the way they would in the past. In his words "We're about 350 bikes behind in orders and we're expecting at least a six month delay in getting the first of those ones in". He also said that much like the shortages that are affecting some vehicle sales, some second hand bikes are selling for more than newer models and for a very good reason. The newer models are delayed in getting into the country. Whether it's because of trade issues or the movement of base produce that are used for parts, they're significantly delayed to the point that people would rather pay more for a second hand bike that they can have now rather than risk not getting one at all. Now I realise that probably the majority of folks here don't care about push bikes (and probably have a bit of disdain for ebikes lol) but if there's delays for pushies including parts like chains and spacers, how long will it be before those delays hit other markets? And as an aside, better half went to grab some ventolin to bolster his stocks and the pharmacy would only allow him to get one. He said that the lass at the register looked like she was ready to be shouted at so there must be a real problem with people losing their minds at them. Not their fault, obviously, so no ill-will here. But supply problems are clearly showing up in the standard OTC medicines now as well. Going to make it a priority to stop regularly at pharmacies now to grab more. Probably including paracetamol/ibuprofen etc. You know ... chronic supply delays are the precursor to full-blown shortages. I'm now putting serious weight behind the idea that we may be in the early stages of a serious and long term economic upheaval. Of a kind experienced by USSR/Russia beginning in the 80's and extending through to the early 2000's. I think we may have economically faked our way out of trouble for quite a while ... and now reality is asserting itself. And reality is that our "service, raw materials and housing" based economy is fragile. And as shortages increase ... real-estate may well decline significantly. The price of housing and commercial rent can only be supported by the funds available to be spent on them.
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Post by Joey on Jun 9, 2021 7:49:12 GMT 10
You know ... chronic supply delays are the precursor to full-blown shortages. I'm now putting serious weight behind the idea that we may be in the early stages of a serious and long term economic upheaval. Of a kind experienced by USSR/Russia beginning in the '80s and extending through to the early 2000s. I think we may have economically faked our way out of trouble for quite a while ... and now reality is asserting itself. This is the long term flow on effects from from Aust changing from a manufacturing base up until the 70's and 80's into an import consumer nation, all thanks to the UN Lima Declaration that was signed in 1975 under Gough government. Prior to this, the export level of Aussie manufactured goods attributed to 25% of out GDP in the 60's and has now dropped to only 4.5% in 2020 due to the UN requirements to "share" our manufacturing with "developing countries" such as China (which for some corrupt reason is still considered a developing nation even though it has one of the largest economies in the world now) with a bit of company greed thrown in for cheap and nasty imports versus quality home made products coupled with unions forcing higher labor wages over the years across the board which in turn leads to more expensive goods at market. Over the last decade, manufacturing in Aust is only getting worse with all this new red and green tape around everything to keep up with the forever increasing new environmental policies forced on manufacturers and producers.
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Beno
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Post by Beno on Jun 9, 2021 16:20:12 GMT 10
Yeah the union situation was malignant back then and was a major contributor to manufacturing decline. There is a happy medium there somewhere but it seems the door has swung a long way the other way now. We need wages growth now due to this insane property (bubble?) market. I saw a graph showing the home loan debt curve from the 80’s compared to now and it says without significant wage growth that the banks loan assessments are now miscalculating when a home can be paid off. goodbye 25-30 year loans, hallo 35-40 year loans. The alternative is a property retraction or crash to bring the rudder back in line with most Aussies real situation. I saw a shitbox house and 30 acres that sold for 600k 2 years ago now asking 1.8mill. Fark off! I want my kids to have a chance, so far it’s not looking good. Even my place has seen huge gains in 18 months. It means nothing to me, i just want everyday Joe and my kids to have a chance to continue to live in my area. At the moment there are heaps of gold coast numpties, FIFO blowouts and generally uber rich dickwads moving here. We aint in Kansas anymore Toto.
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Jun 9, 2021 19:03:06 GMT 10
I'm glad I've got a shed/container full of electronic gear, lots of spares, and boxes of valves for making radios/transmitters etc. Solar panels are made from silicon, the same stuff as chips, I wonder if that's why there are no chips, all the production of silicon ingots is going into the manufacture of solar panels... .just a thought. Small acreages out here are selling almost as soon as listed, and for up to 2 X listed price. Its insane.
Anything that can go wrong, will.
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